![]() The closer we get to the NFL Draft, especially post-draft, these ADPs should even out more, with each of these three first-round wideouts creeping closer to WR3 status. Each wide receiver is projected to carry top-24 pick capital per NFL Mock Draft Database. While I’m also a card-carrying member of the Jaxon Smith-Njigba fan club, Smith-Njigba’s ADP (WR28 51.1 overall) versus Quentin Johnston, Jordan Addison, and Zay Flowers is head-scratching. Projected First-Round NFL Draft Wide Receivers It will just come a year later than expected.Īn encouraging quote from Payton or an offseason practice video clip is all it will take to jolt his ADP closer to his teammate Jerry Jeudy (WR22 43.9 overall). Sutton still has the talent to pay off on hope and hype of Wilson’s arrival. Whether we want to tie this to Russell Wilson or Nathaniel Hackett’s struggles as a head coach, I have faith that both Wilson and the scheme will improve in 2023 under Sean Payton. He was also 12th in open rate (per ESPN analytics). Sutton was 23rd in route win rate and tenth in win rate against man coverage (per ). Sutton’s disastrous 2022 was not his fault. He outproduced this ADP last year as the WR40 in fantasy points per game, so there’s a small bit of equity here, even if you think that his 2023 won’t look any better (it will) than his 2022 showing. I get it, but it’s time to put those hurt feelings to rest. As soon as we reach the “best shape of their life” and training camp highlight portion of the offseason, Burks should bump up towards low-end WR2 territory in many drafts.īroncos HC Sean Payton "not trading" Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton: "We’re in the business of gathering talent" /Gsv2EIHWhAĬourtland Sutton was a big disappointment last year. While none of his 2022 box score numbers will inspire confidence in Burks entering year two, his 17th-ranked route win rate and 24th-ranked open rate (tied with Marquise Brown, per ESPN analytics) should. With Robert Woods gone, Burks should be the clear number-one option for Tannehill. ![]() Burks saw a 17.6% target share (45th) last season while ranking 35th in air-yard share and 32nd in yards per route run. Treylon Burks is staring down a sophomore season with tons of opportunities to put his disappointing rookie season in the past. I already discussed Ryan Tannehill in this article, but I would be neglectful if I didn’t include his top receiver as well. Brown is a WR2 currently priced as a WR3 in early best-ball drafts. His ability to lead an NFL passing attack shouldn’t be questioned. He was 24th in open rate last year, immediately behind Jakobi Meyers (per ESPN analytics). In Weeks 1-6, he was the WR7 in fantasy with a 26% target share, a 40.5% air yard share, and 2.00 yards per route run. As soon as Hopkins is gone, Brown’s ADP will float upwards.īrown’s early 2022 usage is the easiest data point to his mispriced ADP. Marquise Brown is being drafted as a WR3 in Best Ball, and this is WRONG…as soon as Hopkins is traded.ĭeAndre Hopkins remains a Cardinal for now, but I doubt that’s the case for 2023. Erickson’s Best Ball Positional Primers.The cold sweat produced by FOMO should be creeping up your back.ĭon’t let fear of the unknown allow you to miss out on this beautiful ADP smorgasbord on Underdog Fantasy. There are soft ADPs in these drafts that you will not find as we move through the offseason. In any instance, this creates opportunities to dive head first in early best ball drafts. In other instances, it’s because he burned fantasy managers in the previous season (or both). Sometimes it’s because of a murky situation surrounding a player. Every year a group of players are inappropriately priced by the market. Because we love closing line value (CLV).ĬLV is a beautiful thing.We don’t know bye weeks or schedules for these NFL teams. Why do we draft best ball teams this insanely early? The NFL Draft hasn’t been conducted.
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